Excitement Builds for the 124th U.S. Open at Pinehurst No. 2
The stage is set for what promises to be an exciting showdown at Pinehurst No. 2, as the 124th U.S. Open is about to tee off, drawing considerable attention from golf enthusiasts around the world. Leading the charge are the year's two major winners, Scottie Scheffler and Xander Schauffele, who have already made significant strides in their careers.
Top Contenders and Rising Stars
Collin Morikawa, renowned for his consistency and precision, has carded top-five finishes in both the Masters and the PGA Championship. Entering the 2024 U.S. Open, Morikawa is on a hot streak, having secured top-five finishes in his last three tournaments. With a victory at Pinehurst, he can complete 75% of his career Grand Slam, a feat achieved by only a few golfers.
Among the seven golfers with odds under 15-1 in the current 2024 U.S. Open betting, Morikawa stands out. Alongside him are formidable contenders such as Scheffler at 11-4, Schauffele at 10-1, Bryson DeChambeau at 10-1, and Ludvig Aberg at 14-1. These odds reflect the intense competition and the high stakes awaiting the players.
Predictive Models and Their Impact
Since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020, McClure's predictive model has been on a tear, accruing nearly $9,000 in best bets earnings. This model has become a reliable resource for bettors, accurately foreseeing numerous tournament outcomes. Notably, it predicted Scheffler's victories at the 2024 Masters, Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship. Additionally, it tipped Hideki Matsuyama for the 2024 Genesis Invitational with a remarkable +9000 bet.
Its knack for predicting major wins is evident, having correctly forecasted Jon Rahm's triumphs at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions, The American Express, and his second career major at the 2023 Masters. With 12 major predictions nailed, including the last three Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship, the model has fortified its reputation for accuracy.
Key Predictions and Value Bets
One of the model's top predictions is that Xander Schauffele, despite being among the favorites, will barely crack the top five at the U.S. Open. Schauffele has managed just three top-five finishes in majors since 2019 and exhibited shakiness at The Memorial over the weekend. Therefore, the model suggests there are better value bets for this year's U.S. Open.
Noteworthy Contenders
A notable mention from the model is Justin Thomas, who, despite 35-1 odds, is considered a strong contender to make a significant run at the title. Thomas made his major debut at Pinehurst in 2014 and has since accumulated more major victories than anyone except Brooks Koepka since 2017. His recent eighth-place finish at the PGA Championship and impressive statistics—10th in strokes gained around the green, and top-20 in both total driving efficiency and strokes gained approach the green—position him well for another climb up the leaderboard at the U.S. Open.
Dark Horses and Longshots
The model is also eyeing two golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer, suggesting they could make a strong run at the title. Alongside these, there are two triple-digit longshots in its best bets, which could yield substantial returns for those willing to take the gamble.
In conclusion, the 124th U.S. Open at Pinehurst No. 2 promises to be a thrilling event with high-caliber competition. As Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, and other top contenders prepare to showcase their skills, fans and bettors alike look forward to seeing if the predictive model's remarkable accuracy will hold true once more.
Quotes
"In fact, the model is up almost $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament."
"Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner."
"With top-15s in half of his 12 starts this year on tour, Thomas could make another run up the 2024 U.S. Open leaderboard."